July 20, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (A. P. Smithwick Memorial Steeplechase S.) – A. P. Smithwick Memorial Steeplechase S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | French Light (FR) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Redicean (GB) | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Justice (GB) | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iranistan | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Historic Heart (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pistol Whipped (IRE) | 1.60 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Down Royal | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mariah’s Fortune | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Jazz | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Infringement | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U Cant Handle This | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Babyitsgoldoutside | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Backed by Gold | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evoking | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Chiara | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aunt Virginia | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | White Hot | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Izeamalibumoon | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sea Monster | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seems to Whisper | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Galley Head | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gracefully Wild | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 12 | Laughter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ace Up Her Sleeve | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Fuligni | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1X | 13 | Glittering Prize | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rent Control | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Instinctive | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Out of Sight | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Franny Lu | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Bode | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Bit o’Irish Sass | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Home for Christmas | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epona’s Dream | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shaymyname | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whatchamacall | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Numero Seis | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | U Glow Girl | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Darknstormy | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leave No Trace | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Callie’s Passion | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Lady | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Our Rosie Diamonds | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Happy Farm | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince James | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Copper Town | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aristocratic | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shadow Matter | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wendell Fong | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnificent Chrome | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bali Dove (FR) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hey There | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crowding Out | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs. Green | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Libretto (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Temerity | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Meander | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yamas | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spicy Ginger | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Alessia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mischievous Diane | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Smash Ticket | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Betsy Blue | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Love | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Short Summer Dress | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Far Away Love (ARG) | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honey Money | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eloquent Speaker | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Piece of My Heart | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Movie Moxy | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Suzie O’cain S.) – Suzie O’cain S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Mia | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Lynne | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solib | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lisa’s Vision | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dufresne | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Central | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caragate | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Galaxina | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Reigning Chick | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Super Quality | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rugged Union | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Kobe’s Legacy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Pistol Or Shotgun | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blinding Light | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jurkovec | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Woo | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Naked and Famous | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vinny Two Cents | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Rum ‘n Tonic | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.