July 16, 2022 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Iris Cowboy Casanova | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Corona Ken | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classinova | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Pistol Pete | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Wagon | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ts Wave as I Fly Bye | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Utah Beach | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Credentz | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ts No Time to Exit | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rmjennas Prety Lady | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Toby | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quarterback Racy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | A Third Rate Romance | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | West Crest Offense | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Regal and Racy | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ba First Class Hero | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ridley On the Run | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big N Rick | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ts Lil Cash | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Damascus Gate | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ships Jewel | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bayleywick | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cold as You | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Bolt | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bravo Kolt | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lurch | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Who’s Big Daddy | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colorful Native | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Day Money | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Prime Time | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Go Lacey | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Like Trista | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nautical Miss | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Streakin’ Easy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bit a Bad News | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ruthie Rules | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bug a Boo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shy Runner | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa’s Secret | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reba | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Donna’s Hope | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catale | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Shot | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kwai Chang | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Semi Charmed Day | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allen’s Rocket | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warrior’s Run | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Running Alex’sband | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Posse | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A Brush of Luck | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Pines Sandy | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ginger Rules | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Chief | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Bling | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Every Day | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brew Casa | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Contessa | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Global Exchange | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Tabby | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nocturnal Mission | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jack’s Party Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Polly War Cry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Frugal Betty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.