July 15, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Mine | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Camp Akeela | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Chance | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maddie’s Grace | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Im Just Kiddin | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Empress | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Splendid One | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Remain Anonymous | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Customerexperience | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Melting Snow | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Bay | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Invaluable | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grudge | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cadeau de Paix | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Biondi | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Connecticut | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bernardino | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uragano | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kingdom On Paws | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Your Mission | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whistler’s Honor | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rush to Honor | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Marco Polo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suppressor | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Offutt Cole | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papi On Ice | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inspired Mischief | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Like This | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crypto Causeway | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Actualize | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Al’s Prince | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gooch Go Bragh | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bail Out | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Juulstone | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Born a Gambler | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bali’s Shade | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tonal Impact | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Assiduously (GB) | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lord of War | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Man to See | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Amedeus Music | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seizing the Dream | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Top of the Mint | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Straw Into Gold | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghost Giant | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grape Nuts Warrior | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barrage | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danzigwiththestars | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Regal Speaker | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ruse | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bar Fourteen | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cotton | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Flash | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Out East | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | American Pure | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Six Percent | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Will E Sutton | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Roman Empire | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corkman | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dontbelate | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Wicked | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Am the Cash Man | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jade’s Dream | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Coronation Cup S.) – Coronation Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Artos (IRE) | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mystic Eyes | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Static Fire | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Derrynane | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Poppy Flower | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Scarlet | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Solare | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Empress Tigress | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Everyoneloveslinda | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Marissa’s Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Benbang | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Twilight Gleaming (IRE) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Forbidden Apple S.) – Forbidden Apple S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Public Sector (GB) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Set Piece (GB) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mira Mission | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Get Smokin | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scuttlebuzz | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sanctuary City | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Atone | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | City Man | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clear Vision | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes and Yes | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Analyze It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Art Collector | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rossa Veloce | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Khali Magic | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Clever | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thinking It Over | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vallarand | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mosienko | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ok Honey | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shesawildjoker | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wailin Josie | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.