July 4, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Snowy Evening | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ranting | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Benevolently | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream On Cara | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingsley Creek | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Rosie Diamonds | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Foolish Ghost | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Engine | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Masked Marauder | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapizearance | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bronx Bomber | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Pharoahs | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Suppressor | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inspiration Point | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire Ridge | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fazaro | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharpoon | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irie Spice | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Tiger | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | O’Trouble | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cousteau | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Workout | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spectatorless | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forever Wicked | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Love That Face | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trinity Titoli | 1.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gagliano | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Game Theory | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Simple Sugar | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Handle the Truth | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keen Dancer | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bustin Shout | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ring of Fire | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ranger Fox | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alado | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Subsidize | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Atras | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gandy Dancing | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Casanova Kitten | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artemus Citylimits | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiger Blood | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maxwell Esquire | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ballydooley (GB) | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battle Station | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fauci | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Comedy Town | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alcools | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Overlook Me | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Precursory | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Demandsrespect | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quotabelle | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hop Picker | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dolce Sera | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Manila S.) – Manila S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chanceux | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coinage | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Annapolis | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin’ T | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Clutch | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boston Tea Party | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready to Purrform | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ohtwoohthreefive | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hope for the Best | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unkoalafied | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Racing Queen | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laughter | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rent Control | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Altare | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Giggling Ghost | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mo Damorninggrouch | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Boss of All | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Caiarossa | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.