July 3, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aaron | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lost Ark | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Certified Loverboy | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strong Finish | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perform | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Attitude | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Quaria Thunder | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Requestforproposal | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Green Screen Queen | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exotic Cat | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Belleshazza | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miscreant | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Regina | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Girl of Tosconova | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cadeau de Paix | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Peppina | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Violent Point | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | She’s a Black Belt | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grudge | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cynwyd | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Almanzo | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Java Buzz | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broken Spur | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legends Can’t Die | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Town Branch | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame B B | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hombre | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Floriform | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winfromwithin | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sifting Sands (GB) | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ocala Dream | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emaraaty (GB) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forty Under | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s a Gamble | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Daufuskie Island | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luni Sima | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Motion to Strike | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mocephus | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On the Hill | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonshiningbright | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Light Stars (FR) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Higher Truth (IRE) | 1.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | R Calli Kim | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mia Martina | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flanigan’s Cove | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | State Crown | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star Seeking (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cafe Fleur (FR) | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Community Adjusted | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Perfect Sting S.) – Perfect Sting S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cheermeister | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jouster | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giggle Factory | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love And Thunder (IRE) | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flower Point | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Messidor (IRE) | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sinful Dancer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Refuah | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Tsar | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sight Unseen | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beach Boy Al | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean’s Reserve | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Full Complement | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Capleton | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.