July 2, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Maria From Miami | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Ransom Style | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Fly High | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Tribal Queen | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mysterious Stare | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Apple Picker | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Graceful | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Extessa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Miss Delicious | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady of Thoroton | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Linny Kate | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Basilia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Maybe Later | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Voice of Spring | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | More Mango | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chaysenbryn | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Patti | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Brody | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tuesday’s Child | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Mucho Man | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Veinticuatro | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Book of Delancey | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Datesfreedom | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disengage | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (John A. Nerud S.) – John A. Nerud S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Life Is Good | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speaker’s Corner | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Repo Rocks | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harvard | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Tocsin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Internal Capital | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Running Bee | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Capensis | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sosua Summer | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Emboite (IRE) | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breakwater | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calloway Peak | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Making It | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Air Show | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Endowed | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dangerous Edge | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Victory | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Writeitontheice | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blake B. | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Autumn Glory | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kiss Me Smile | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Makin My Move | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dufresne | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love’s Misery | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Mia | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Hill Lil | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Al’s Gal | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scott Alaia | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Dwyer S.) – Dwyer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Runninsonofagun | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charge It | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Sabe Nada | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nabokov | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Bomber | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fluid Situation | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She’s the One | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anador (FR) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Little Faith | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silky Blue | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | O’Gotten Girl | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mail Order | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nota Bene | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cruz Bay | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tuscan Queen | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Awillaway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ruvies in Time | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Chasing Cara | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shannon | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | To a T | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Monshun | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Hot Fudge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Outlaw | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jerry the Nipper | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Poet of Life (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bay Street Money | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thin White Duke | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hidden Enemy (IRE) | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Celestial City | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Khafre | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shawdyshawdyshawdy | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hold the Salsa | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Therisastormbrewin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Klickitat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Listentoyourheart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | No Burn | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Efficiency | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.