June 18, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sensibleconclusion | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clingman | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fair to Middlin | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storied Fella | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Makart | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Datesfreedom | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Denis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Brazillionaire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Born a Gambler | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bezos | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prayer Book | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bless Bless | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seizing the Dream | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Wicked Charm | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Got It | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Deep | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Jimmy the Boot | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Marco Polo | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starrystarryknight | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uptown Hustler | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dads Good Runner | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Streaming Tap | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King of Sting | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rugged Union | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Quality | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irie Spice | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Naked and Famous | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dream Bigger | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Drive | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Guy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Durkin’s Call | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mission Wrapitup | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Karen’s Cove | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Manifest Destiny | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | New York Banker | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Jazz | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Closing Deals | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thegoddessofsnakes | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chloe Rose | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boss Cara | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mia Bea Star | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Poker S.) – Poker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Public Sector (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Masen (GB) | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sanctuary City | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Penalty | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Credit Event | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carpe’s Dream | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Icarus | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fighter in the Win | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Castle Leoch | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Merci | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Analogy | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Parquetry | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dripping Gold | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Good Skate | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Beauty Amazed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Skylander | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Unbridled Bomber | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Writeitontheice | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pioneer Spirit | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince James | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chris and Dave | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Thirty Five | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air Attack | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lastchanceatglory | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musical America | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uncle George | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Veterans Beach | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Kringle | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forty Two Ace | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cotton | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golquist | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spettro | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bali’s Shade | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giramonte | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Courageoous Oh La | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Missionatthespa | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Amedeus Music | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forwardly | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hashtag No Wonder | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Good Medicine | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Remote | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hooky Player | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Acamar | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Left On Boylston | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Braille | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thistle | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stjames | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.