June 17, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Velvet | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Granola Girl | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wishing On a Star | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ma France (IRE) | 2.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Belle Cherie | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jubilee Lake (GB) | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peanut Butter Cup | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rebel Girl | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anacapa | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quick Romance | 12.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Acoustic Shadow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chloe’s Crown | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Charlotte Harbor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Albayaader (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Talkative Gal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Loma Vista | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Work to Live | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pequena Tormenta | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Violent Runner | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Machtenhaironfire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ice Cold Gold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flash of Genius | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Redline | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Charlie | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’tcrossthedevil | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Art | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shut Up Michael (IRE) | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lookout Point | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Kingdom | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Today Matters | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quincey | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mongolian Bonus | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corsica Flavor | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | King Rob | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Economical | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Asphalt Andy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Iconic Sky | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Kid | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gotham Desire | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buy Wave Buy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss O’Brien | 4.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nice and True | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Pompeii | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Joker | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sapadilla | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Belleo’s Music | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Maryann | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Little Bit Crazy | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smiling Molly | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Ju Forget | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flame McGoon | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tamarando Coast | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucy L | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Quattroelle (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Flyer | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Javanica | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carpe Vinum | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Game | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Macadamia (BRZ) | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Louna (FR) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Law Abidin Citizen | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Disc Jockey | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coalinga Road | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | City Rage | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Houndstooth | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apprehend | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Flame | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forgiving Spirit | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caerulean | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Johnny Podres | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brix | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vroysky | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rocky Gibraltar | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bolden | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lovesick Blues | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Foreman | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Manitowish | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shady Empire | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | McWherter | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Full Draw | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mad Catter | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dance Company | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Verragio | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winhappy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Heartbreaker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sonic Brees | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cherubic Factor | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kant Beat the Rock | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chipper | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Santos to Wilson | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Constant Conflict | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breakfast Ride | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missed Call | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.