June 9, 2022 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Confusion | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My My Munny | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cuzzywuzzy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beachside Bunny | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Protonico | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jeremy’s Jet | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tivy | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Recruit | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fadethenoise | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bread Winner | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zaici | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cortese | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Johannes | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Canal | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kigali | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Giant | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Coach Rogers | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Capacity | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Zafiro Anejo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dolly Dimple | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bitter Vixen | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | World of Wonder | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Queen | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Spin | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Neblina | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rio Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Beauty | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Nushi | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Home | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Willamina | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mejthaam | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slam Diego | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Todo Sola | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Voliero | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Courageously | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fieldstone | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holy Cross | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Full Charge | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Epimythium | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | World Cruiser | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Ahijado | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Uninvited Guest | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rogue Element | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carnivore | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Stockpiler | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Lord Zed | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fire On Time | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alberta Sun | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Melting Snow | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Larimar | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Southern Mama | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Remain Anonymous | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Xtrema | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yogurt | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alejandro | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | O P Firecracker | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aussie Pride | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Macallan | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curbstone | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Blue Line | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kunshan Bridge | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sol Del Sur | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Western River | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tiwanaku | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wolfe County | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Strong Light | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Close Knit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Beyblader | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Supremely | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hornbeam | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Redwhiteblue | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Port Royal | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thought | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Per Diem | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jedrek | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Right of Rush | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.