May 22, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Money in the Bank | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mexican Wonder Boy | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Next Flight | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Montauk Daddy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Mr. Pete | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Mount Travers | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Karen’s Cove | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cara’s Dreamer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marvelous Maude | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Instinctive | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Colors | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Canoe | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Bode | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ok Honey | 2.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ifihadachance | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | That Is Key | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Epona’s Dream | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Seek Again S.) – Seek Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Masen (GB) | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duke of Hazzard (FR) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mandate | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Field Pass | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | He’sgottashortfuse | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Limit Up | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | How You Feeling | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Johnselectricride | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disengage | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Banker | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Datesfreedom | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Martini Margarita | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Thegoddessofsnakes | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ofalltheginjoints | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer At the Spa | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proper Grammar | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Bourbon | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Mango | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queentigua | 50.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Celine the Queen | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tis a Pity | 2.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Appreciate | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Evidence Based | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Idaka | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Write This Down | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Predetermined | 5.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Waters of Merom | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gris Tormenta | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vintage Girl | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lola Flo | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clara Belle | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thataint Tooshabby | 1.60 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Invincible | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Join the Dots | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maybe Later | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Curl | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honey Money | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Girl | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vienna Code | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fortin Hill | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zoomer | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Phil | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lobsta | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chestertown | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whistling Birds | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hidden Scroll | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cost Basis | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jimmy the Boot | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire Ridge | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Necromancer | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Theregoesmymiracle | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starrystarryknight | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Good Tip | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broken Spur | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wegottaguy | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vocalize | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fazaro | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Committed | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.