May 21, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shacks Way | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Where Paradise Lay | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Mule | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Abuelo Paps | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spitball | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aliferous | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Crusader | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Service | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Gentleman Joe | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Honor the Fleet | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Shooger Ray Too | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Armando R | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Poser | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Benandjoe | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | D’ Rapper | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Excellorator | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Boss Logic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amarillo | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bad to the Bones | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | General’s Duty | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Traveler | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Evan Harlan | 0.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trash Talkin Larry | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hachure | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Violent Rock | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Airspeed Velocity | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spiritual Ghost | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maryland Sprint S.) – Maryland Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jaxon Traveler | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disco Pharoah | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Full Authority | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Alfred James | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Threes Over Deuces | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Tocsin | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Phil | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Gallorette S.) – Gallorette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Technical Analysis (IRE) | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In a Hurry | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crystal Cliffs (FR) | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Karakatsie | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Out of Sorts | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foggy Dreams | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scarabea | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Golden Voice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kate’s Kingdom | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Canoodle | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vibrancy | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Volador | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fire in the Hole | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Witty Banter | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trumpet Lilly | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hashtag Lucky | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Monet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Murph | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Skipat S.) – Skipat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Time Limit | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joy’s Rocket | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Lute | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oxana | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cilla | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fille d’Esprit | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cinnabunny | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glory Dia | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kaylasaurus | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cheetara (CHI) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Dinner Party S.) – Dinner Party S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Atone | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | English Bee | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beacon Hill | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Set Piece (GB) | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Novo Sol (BRZ) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tango Tango Tango | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nathan Detroit | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Chick Lang S.) – Chick Lang S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cogburn | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Old Homestead | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doctor Jeff | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whelen Springs | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alottahope | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Little Vic | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lightening Larry | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Time | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Handsome Man | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (James W. Murphy S.) – James W. Murphy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uncaptured Spirit | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Local Motive | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crabs N Beer | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Joe | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Determined Kingdom | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready to Purrform | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shake Em Loose | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Epic Luck | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Riot House | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wow Whata Summer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | World of Fools | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Sir Barton S. Sponsored By Brandon And Diannah Perry To Benefit The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance) – Sir Barton S. Sponsored By Brandon And Diannah Perry To Benefit The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr Jefferson | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ethereal Road | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unikee | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ruggs | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goldenize | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good Skate | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Writeitontheice | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | B Dawk | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brooklyn Diamonds | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | The Addison Pour | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.) – Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Carotari | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hollis | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Scents | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grateful Bred | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Hustle | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin’ Jay | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bank | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arthur’s Hope | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Wolfman | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Concrete Glory | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Preakness S.) – Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Epicenter | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Simplification | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Early Voting | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Oath | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Minister | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Skippylongstocking | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Armagnac | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Jack | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fenwick | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Uae President Cup S.) – Uae President Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | HIAB AL ZAMAN | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | QUICK SAND AA | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | LIKE MOULIN ROUGE | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | UPTOWN LADY ARABELLA | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | HIGHH MAINTENANCE | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | PROUD AMERICAN | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | KISSOUUR | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | SNIPER DE MONLAU (FR) | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.