May 21, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No Burn | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flowers for Lisa | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Invest | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liam’s Fire | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | O Shea Can U See | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Healy’s Hope | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Break | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | B C Glory Days | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joshua | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Reap What You Sow | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sixty Three S | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Red Jet | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1A | 11 | Kimbo Dancer | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Jump Starter | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Triple Brown | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chapel Road | 4.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Toga Dancer | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Sell Something | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Thats Pretty Nice | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dawnland | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rough Tough Love | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jacrodra’s Devil | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trinity Titoli | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Tasty Wave | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Daredevil Bull | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Our Tiny Dancer | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Voice of Spring | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kemba | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Babyitsgoldoutside | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosemary Potatoes | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Infringement | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Vinman | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Constitutionalrage | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Home for Christmas | 2.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Synonymous | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cross Island | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Invincible | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alicia’s Way | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Steppin’ Hawk | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fingal’s Cave | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shane’s Risk | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Boomer | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Madame Rose | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cabernet Trail | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bustin Bullet | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Currency | 0.80 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Storm Shooter | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cable Channel | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Box of Joe | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mach One | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winter Son | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Charming | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sutton Valley | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Esor | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Me ‘n Sap | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prince James | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Engine | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Two Zone | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stage Left | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fitzpatrick | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Musical America | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Feathers Road | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Built to Last | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marinara Sauced | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Excursionniste | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devil Or Angel | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Central Pride | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Buckortwo | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Independent Paul | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dreampoint | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ripe for Mischief | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tyrannosaurus Rex | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tapizearance | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golani Brigade | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runningwscissors | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sicilia Mike | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | New York’s Finest | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | South Africa | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Shot | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gandy Dancing | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mission Wrapitup | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Deep Cover | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sheriff Bianco | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle George | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Citizen K | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bali’s Shade | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sandrone | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Volkert | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cotton | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Laoban | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Golquist | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Veterans Beach | 15.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon’s Hope | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tingling Mint | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mondeuse | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Nyquist | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raymond Road | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boca Kitten | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Kreem Sundae | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inkblot | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Type | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Malala | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cerretta | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | False Hope | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | War in Paradise | 8.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jannie Mae | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.