May 20, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Hard to Be Humble | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Detroit City | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Credit River | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Pere | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Never Satisfied | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fomo | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kobe Tough | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lantau | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Billingsgate | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mocephus | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dathoss | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Black Light | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Our Shot | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Backnthewoods | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chauffeur | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | It’s Sizzling Time | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Run Raegan Run | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Utterly Courageous | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saint Eros Girl | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foul Balls | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Practically There | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Midnight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Swayin to and Fro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tilted Tiara | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Never Explain | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Never Explain | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Artistic Endeavor | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Vega (GB) | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royne | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Great Idea | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Undercover Kitty | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Extra Medium | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Honorable One | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pharaoh’s Triumph | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Ghost | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Let Me Finish | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Elusive Knight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Spitball | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Saint Marco | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Irish | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Natagar | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heffner | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rustys Gfivefifty | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shady Munni | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Frontier | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Affable Monarch | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gallant Gold | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Like What I See | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Radical Right | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vulcan | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love You Much | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coop Tries Harder | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Comedy Town | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Papal Law | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valued Notion | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | W W Springtime | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Charge to Victory | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tommy Shelby | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nottoway | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Another Woman | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tweet Away Robin | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awfully Foxy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Escape Fund | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R B’s Star | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bedtimebourbon | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anotherworldinside | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shinelikeadiamond | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Belladora | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Healing | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | English Tavern | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | American d’Oro | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Broker’s Reward | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ballagh Rocks | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | U S Constitution | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Good Year | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Johng | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Kentucky Pharoah | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | B Determined | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | I Am That I Am | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor the Fleet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gentleman Joe | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Benandjoe | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mandate | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Nathan Detroit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allaire Dupont Distaff S.) – Allaire Dupont Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Super Quick | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Into Vanishing | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frost Point | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exotic West | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Click to Confirm | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Kings Princess | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Hilltop S.) – Hilltop S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Murph | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vergara | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Hands | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hail To | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Puchi | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pizza Bianca | 0.80 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Determined Star | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Determined Gold | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Miss Preakness S.) – Miss Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Happy Soul | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Scarlet | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Casa d’Oro | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Verylittlecents | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gimmick | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saucy Lady T | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Under the Stars | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Solare | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (The Very One S.) – The Very One S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Princess Kokachin | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Payntdembluesaway | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phantom Vision | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Pants | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can the Queen | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Adelaide Miss | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Epic Idea | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spun Glass | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whispurring Kitten | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dendrobia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hey Mamaluke | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Door Buster | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Pimlico Special S.) – Pimlico Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vindictive | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Untreated | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Workin On a Dream | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | First Captain | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Excellorator | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Capocostello | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mischief Afoot | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Treasure Trove | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forewarned | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mohaafeth | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shooger Ray Too | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.) – George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Adare Manor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Interstatedaydream | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Distinctlypossible | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luna Belle | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beguine | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Favor | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Huntress | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missy Greer | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Light | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Yearwood | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Morning Matcha | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Radio Days | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Stroll | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Peligroso | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heaven’s Got Fire | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | That’s Right | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Claudee Boy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Anthem | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Votethemallout | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blame B B | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fully Connected | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bali Dove (FR) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.