May 19, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Myriskyaffair | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reign of Love | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charging Lady | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Postman | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Office Etiquette | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Personal Best | 1.40 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gaslight | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Acceptable Risk | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tamburro’s Sox | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Mad | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Motion to Strike | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Laban M Mo | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Litterbox | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Black Belt | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Peppina | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Al’s Gal | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quality Stones | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carly Hustle | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mebs Web | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Girl Lexi | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gal in a Rush | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poppy Flower | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Screamin’ By | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mac the Pee H Dee | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abuse of Power | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stony Point | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anador (FR) | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Handicap) – Starter Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shesalittle Edgy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Easy to Bless | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Customerexperience | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greatest Love | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Handle the Truth | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honey Money | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Bea Star | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cousin Andrew | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dot’s Dollar | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lindros | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Juggler | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | On the Hill | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Montatham | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Troubadour | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Giramonte | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Immortalization | 4.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Equuleus | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 12 | 12 | King Moonracer | 4.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Alcools | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rejected Again | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | F F Rocket | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Casalsa | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zaevion | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Somebody | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uno | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Matty’s Express | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Demo Doctor | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Purrageous Dyna | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 13 | Pretty Clever | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 14 | Chasing Cara | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Q | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Pure Bode | 3.50 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Itsakeyper | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guardian Moon | 4.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Get the Candy | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Melissa | 4.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Khali Magic | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Social Whirl | 6.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Dream | 3.50 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | North Carolina | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Bold Victory | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. J. McKay | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kobe’s Legacy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King of Sting | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Overexaggerate | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Beckenbauer | 50.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Islandman | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Committed | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Everesting | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starrystarryknight | 12.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Broken Spur | 12.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Empire Ridge | 6.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Necromancer | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Vocalize | 3.50 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jimmy the Boot | 6.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.