May 15, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A Thousand Dreams | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | St Helena | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mia At Midnight | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Here Comes Ralphie | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Precious Insight | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flag Salute | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | For Love Not Money | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mister Bold | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thirsty Always | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slam Dunk Sermon | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charge Cash | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silken Prince | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heartfullofstars | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Beat | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lady T | 0.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Spinning | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Banjo Queen | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | L Bee | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel Nadeshiko | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beignet | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Harbored Memories | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arkaan | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cotopaxi (IRE) | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Flag | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jetovator | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Law Abidin Citizen | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disco Ball | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rifey | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | California Street | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Diablo Rojo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moraweth | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Treasure | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mike Operator | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unbroken Star | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mashhad Flats | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Continental Divide | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hit the Seam | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Claim of Passion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Roman Centurian | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Impossible Task | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Ruckus | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Special Ride | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Admiral | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Back Ring Luck | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scary Fast Smile | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Squalotoro | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raging Waters | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Hand | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shady Empire | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Suzie Qzz Brother | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stir the Pot | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bolden | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sawasdee | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sniper Kitten | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rijeka (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fly the Sky | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liberal (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Niles Channel | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bee Catcher | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Heatwave | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.