May 14, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fortune’s Nephew | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | N Y Anthem | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devil Boy | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eminency | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Safalow’s Mission | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Son Jake | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Denis | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ocean’s Reserve | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquist | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Secret Rules | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ring of Fire | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Standup | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tenure | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bingo John | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Not Yet Charlie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stanhope | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Loaded Joe | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steelersfanforlife | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dee Bo | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Vagrancy H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bella Sofia | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frank’s Rockette | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Brazil | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kept Waiting | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Assertive Style | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Holiday Jazz | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Freedomofthepress | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missing Link | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mandy Green | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Delicious | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stella Mars | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Red Pepper Grill | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Happy Hill Lil | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gentle Annie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Trinity Titoli | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mia Bea Star | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | U Should B Dancing | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thismightbetheone | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Runhappy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chateau | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Answer In | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Officiating | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drafted | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Repo Rocks | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Phil | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Baby Blythe | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lay the Groundwork | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Angelinka (FR) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Belacqua (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 6 | Join the Dots | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Caironi | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Courageous Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Naked On the Beach | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Angel Palm (GB) | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Miss Bella Ciao | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Malibu Curl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 10 | Saint Selby | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Jemography | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Listentoyourheart | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Lilies | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Foolish Ghost | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Masked Marauder | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Prince of Pharoahs | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bronx Bomber | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gandy Dancing | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brew Pub | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Man O’ War S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yibir (GB) | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gufo | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abaan | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Chief (IRE) | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Easter (FR) | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | So High (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Peter Pan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | We the People | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Set Sail | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Electability | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Glider | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Complete Agenda | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cooke Creek | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western River | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | State Planning | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Beaugay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Rumour | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stolen Holiday | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plum Ali | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lemista (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Opinion | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Flash Drive | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rougir (FR) | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Finest Work | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Autumn Glory | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Act of Congress | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Waterville | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tellaperfecttale | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Palace Gossip | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rigby | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dufresne | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sue Ellen Mishkin | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Caumsett | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Captainsdaughter | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Masterof the Tunes | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Gallina | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Highway Queen | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hideout | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Theodora Grace | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.