May 12, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ever a Rebel | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kerry | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valenzan Day | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Like Boston | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Beauty | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Croatian | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Love Jaxson | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Direct Order | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blood Moon | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winning Drive | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brilliant Brooks | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magnificent Chrome | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Manolito | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jake Rocks | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Karen’s Cove | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winter Son | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Phenomenal Woman | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mill Stone Creek | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exact Change | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mrs Bell | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Merger of Equals | 1.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giant Bottle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lindsay’s Laugh | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Anonymously | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shasta Star | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bustin Bay | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Violent Point | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jasminesque | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grudge | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weekend Fun | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Jen’s Battle | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Pepper Grill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Mission | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Her Way | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crosstown Girl | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eudaimonia | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Draw Off | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dini’s Destiny | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wabaunsee | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eventually | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dulce Gigante | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Engine | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Maxwell Esquire | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nuclear Option | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artemus Citylimits | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fauci | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cucina | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Duress | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kid d’Oro | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Key Point | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colormepazzi | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Blute | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Montebello | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Longlongtimeago | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Win for Gold | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Out of Sight | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sals Dream Girl | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Duckphat | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I’ll Go All In | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cape Cod Causeway | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pave My Way | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Frosty Invasion | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Dancer | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Succulent | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Limani | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Maeve | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Empire Lily | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Missing Fortune | 15.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Busy Morning | 8.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unkoalafied | 20.00 | 13 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.