May 5, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tuesday’s Child | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marshal Dillon | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alite | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Platinum Road | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Doctor | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nova Loves a Fight | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Disengage | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Storm Shooter | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top of the Mint | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Life Changer | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Centavo | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forty Comets | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daufuskie Island | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forty Under | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zoomer | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kinenos | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s a Gamble | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Devamani (FR) | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pioneer Spirit | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sifting Sands (GB) | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Safe Conduct | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Doublepour | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brunate | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Truebelieve | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scorpion Dynasty | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quintarelli | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tale of Mineshaft | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Giant | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Great Workout | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Front Man | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justintimeforwine | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Mayor | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be Here | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Landbiscuit | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loaded Joe | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spectatorless | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Purple Hearted | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Breakwater | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sukoon | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capone | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shreveport | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mugged | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baltasar | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharpoon | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Power Agenda | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Juulstone | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yes and Yes | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Supply and Demand | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kawhi Me a River | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Twelth Man | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Buck | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gandy Dancing | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | High Front | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Early | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Boy Bode | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brattle House | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Witch Hunter | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ok Honey | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girl of Tosconova | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Bit o’Irish Sass | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pay Grade | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wailin Josie | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Treasure King | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quality G | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mackillop | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unbridled Bomber | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celestial City | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cathedral Beach | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heat’s On Zap | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | One More Score | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ohtwoohthreefive | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parquetry | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Skylander | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Daunt | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bron and Brow | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Good Skate | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Napoleonic War | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.