April 28, 2022 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Out of Sight | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eau Claire | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Jessica | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rheaume | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Chrome | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’ll Go All In | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Altare | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pave My Way | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | To a T | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Pepper Grill | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Principessa | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stencil | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chloe Rose | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Mama | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gentle Annie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | No Salt | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vintage Hollywood | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bingo John | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy Knows | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Invest | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Right | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Therisastormbrewin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Karnak | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Matty’s Marauder | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mach One | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Bourbon | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midaswellrun | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fomo | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Marathoner | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Motion to Strike | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jake Rocks | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Commander | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Top of the Mint | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Quickflash | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Citizen K | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Buckortwo | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Central Pride | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Built to Last | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Safalow’s Mission | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Biserno | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Heymackit’sjack | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Yarrow | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Scherzando | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dancing With Rico | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Makart | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Feathers Road | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Majority Partner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | N Y Anthem | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bella Domenica | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raffinity | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Predetermined | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boss Cara | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love That Face | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Spirit | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handle the Truth | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sabreen | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Honorable Ruth | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prince James | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Repo Rocks | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spun and Won | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | More Graytful | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fitzpatrick | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Competitive Saint | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Baby I’m Perfect | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doubly Blessed | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ryan’s Cat | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Aura | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Money | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Its All Relevant | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Striking Speed | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Easy to Bless | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uno | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gracefully Wild | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Celine the Queen | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dini’s Destiny | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Draw Off | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shesadancingqueen | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Backed by Gold | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winter Siren | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | White Hot | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Wabaunsee | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mo Damorninggrouch | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Ladyshanghitrevor | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chiara | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Impazible Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lemme Get It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Giggling Ghost | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Doc Doc Rock | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.