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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 17, 2022

April 17, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Queen of Pompeii 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 She’s a Joker 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Baker Kait 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Margot’s Girl 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Magic Game 10.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Beautiful Temple 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Summer Lake 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Claddagh Cure 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Heaven’s Ghost 30.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Applaud the Bench 8.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Divine Armor 1.80 1.3 3-1
4 4 There Goes Harvard 1.20 2.2 4-1
3 3 Parnelli 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Back Ring Luck 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Spirit Maker 8.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Rocky Gibraltar 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Big Splash 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Worse Read Sanchez 2.50 4.9 9-1
6 5 Bally’s Charm 4.00 5 9-1
8 6 Jack Sixpack 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Fowler Blue 6.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Will Is Chill 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cowboy Charlie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Piroli 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Kerouac 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Q B One 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Union Train 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Got Thunder 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Balladeer 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Go Joe Won 30.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Spring Spinning 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Royally Command 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Unfaithful Ways 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 The Ginger Queen (IRE) 2.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Team Concept 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Ardis 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Squillions 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Ropers N Wranglers 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Sweet Workout 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Take a Leap 1.60 1.7 3-1
8 8 Flatterwithjewels 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Zabava 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Hot On the Trail 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Bossy Soul 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Best of Show 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Gotta Be Lucky 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Big Passion 20.00 5 10-1
1 1 Discrete Stevie B 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thrumps Dream (IRE) 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Charges Dropped 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Carpe Vinum 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 New Heat 4.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Ole Silver 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Heathers Grey 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Shore Break (IRE) 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 98 Miss Costa Rica 0.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Clockstrikestwelve 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gerlach’s 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Raging Waters 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Quick Buck 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Scary Fast Smile 2.50 5 10-1
6 6 Stir the Pot 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Primer Dimer 8.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Big Flame 10.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Squalotoro 10.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Suzie Qzz Brother 12.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dialing Scotty 6.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Current Mood 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Busker Allie 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Act of Serendipity 15.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Shez Our Arch 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Tapit Rocks 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Warren’s Showgirl 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 It’s Greek to Me 15.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Roubaix 4.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Summer Pudding 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Galarina 20.00 7.7 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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