April 9, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Monrovia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alice Marble | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapwater | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brooke Marie | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Address (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tobys Heart | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cover Version | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Echo Eddie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smuggler’s Run | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finneus | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What in Blazes | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moose Mitchell | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. T’s Thirsty | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bestrella (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Too Much Heaven | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Operatic | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Donut Girl | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rapid Transit | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A New Peace | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Badger Kitten | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Santa Anita Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t Easy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Micro Share | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Under the Stars | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adare Manor | 0.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Dawn | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Providencia S. Presented By The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sixteen Arches (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Girl (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Crest (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cairo Memories | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eleuthera | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Dragon Queen | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Runhappy Santa Anita Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Taiba | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forbidden Kingdom | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Messier | 1.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Win the Day | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Armagnac | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Jack | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Royal Heroine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Going Global (IRE) | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Excelerina (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Avenue de France (FR) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Javanica | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Park Avenue | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Poseidon’s Kid | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Arthur Spooner | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bag’s Gold | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speed Grazy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Agrigento | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arickaree | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Philosopher’s Tone | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Economical | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dutch Bus | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sawasdee | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Romeo’s Glory | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chris Fix | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Scenic Masterpiece | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lookintogeteven | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Granola Girl | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snark | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Banjo Queen | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soul of a Warrior | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adele Darling | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mygalsdawnnlori | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yadiama | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Evening Jewel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Professors’ Pride | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Everlys Girl | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carmen Miranda | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Youteyourhonor | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Power Surge | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Munny Penny | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Novel | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Connie Swingle | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | At the Spa | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Arkaan | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strike That | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coulthard (IRE) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anaconda | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Burnin Turf | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Harbored Memories | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gregdar | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coast of Roan | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Encoder | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zoffarelli (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hudson Ridge | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Candy for Carmel | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Today Matters | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Halfbarberbingie | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hulk | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Got Curly | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lookout Point | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Ninja | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tucker’s Tribute | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Weegee | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brotherly Love | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Its Big | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mo Them Down | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Asphalt Andy | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.