April 2, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beef Winslow | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Migration | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flintmore | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Birth of Cool | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tuskegee Cat | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Overrule | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laforgia | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Explain This Audit | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nineeleventurbo | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Torajiro | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Bro Coop | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unbroken Star | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Claim of Passion | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Legend | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin for Revenge | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tembo | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Singletary S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Balnikhov (IRE) | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sumter | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Almanera (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Durante | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handy Dandy | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Discernment | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Renella | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time for Ebby | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Circulodeganadoras | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot On the Trail | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jamminjl | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truly Fabulous | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Rio Ocho (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carmelita’s Man | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Nerves of Steel | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Luvluv | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Oncoming | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cane Creek Road | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wilder Than Most | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Phoenix (IRE) | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Air Force Red | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | One Fast Bro | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | River Tiber | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spirit Maker | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Owning | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Avenue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shaaz | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dark Vader | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Soy Tapatio | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vittorio | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charlito | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Trick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rocky Gibraltar | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hail Freedom | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caerulean | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Rascal | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Really Big News | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Franklin One Star | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shortman | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Flame | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bang for Your Buck | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Karin With an I | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady T | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Kentucky Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Family Affair | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | M Is for Magic | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Fix | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Heights | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Silk Stocking | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Equilove (IRE) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kalon | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Woodbine Way | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stressed | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nu Pi Lambda | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Congratulated | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Paid Informant | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Red Diamond | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Xmas Surprise | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taming the Tigress | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.