March 19, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Suite Madam Blue | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lunatic | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Translate | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shes’a Perfectlady | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bowl of Cherries | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unwritten Code | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | American Admiral | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Runner | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy for Carmel | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Balladeer | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Halfbarberbingie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sweet California | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warren’s Queen Bee | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Admiral Aeschbach | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tizzy Twister | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mix and Match | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Empress | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Duck | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Summer Pudding | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Funny Feline | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rosie Forecast | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kitten’s Kid | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Current Mood | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beautiful Temple | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Yes Your Graze | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roubaix | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sugar Apple | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Belleo’s Music | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mensa On Tap | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Busker Allie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Margot’s Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sheila’s Charlie | 50.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Affable | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Disco Ball | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Divine Armor | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phantom Dance | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Holden the Lute | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zimba Warrior | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mongolian Wind | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Noble Reflection | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fore Left | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Agreetodisagree | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rose’s Crystal | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cinnte Winnte (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Lass | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky On Ice | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmyssmokedcarrot | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gallovie (GB) | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frose | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | There Goes Harvard | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dance Some Mo | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Back Ring Luck | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Motown Music | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cover Me Up | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Going With Style | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loud Mouth | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parnelli | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Maior | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Irish O’brien S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Becca Taylor | 0.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sensible Cat | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Devoted | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sassyserb | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eddie’s New Dream | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pulpit Rider | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maybe I Will | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Keystone Field | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Frontier Market | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Move Over (GB) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Exultation | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fly the Sky | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Liberal (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Niles Channel | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | On a Spree | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Irish Heatwave | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Truth Seeker | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crash Corrigan | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Endless Sunset | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.