March 13, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Las Flores S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Private Mission | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dynasty of Her Own | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Edgeway | 0.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aloha Kitten | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Park Avenue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Allaboutthemoney | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Bridger | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Too Late | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Verragio | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abadon | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arrabiata | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Make Mine Wine | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Street Art | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Apollo | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clampett | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Town Boy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Feminine | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tayet | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | With This Vow | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smoothlikebuttah | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Arch | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stoic Luna | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | King Rob | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sync | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thrive | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awkward Morning | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Bonus | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cross Indian | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Event | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Vision | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missing Maurice | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Sweep | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | She’s So Nice (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Address (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | California Kook | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Fia | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heathers Grey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arthur Spooner | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Goodbye | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Romeo’s Glory | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Funkenstein | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forgotten Vows | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speed Grazy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dutch Bus | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sawasdee | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Countess Rosina (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vivando | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scenic Masterpiece | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Topolina | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Violent Runner | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snark | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Money Baby | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yadiama | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.