March 12, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Never Have I Ever (IRE) | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Lovejoy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Psycho Dar | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alleva | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Whisky My God (ARG) | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Silver Summer | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Special | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Zip | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Vroysky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Work to Live | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Lola | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul of a Warrior | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nang Singha | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Duxonthepond | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Carroll Girl | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunny Morning (FR) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Ofthe Temple | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ruby Ray | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glenall (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phenom | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Washington Square | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vulin | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brutto | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scary Fast Smile | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Escape Route | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fight On | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sea to Success | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Get Her Number | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Border Town | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harbored Memories | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vantastic | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gregdar | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Encoder | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jungle Cry | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Street Ruckus | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bud Knight | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Ford | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Sailor | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Egomania | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tom Bombadil | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ice Cold Gold | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s So Shiny | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girl Ranger | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Travel Smart | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beachgrass | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tapit Doux | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sue Ettas Ghost | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 98 | Precious Insight | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Take a Leap | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A New Peace | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Busy Paynter | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Tokyo | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Island Life | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Li’l Grazen | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chollima | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Passion | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – San Luis Rey S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Current | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Red King | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Henley’s Joy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Acclimate | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Offlee Naughty | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Airman | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Say the Word | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Award Winner | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.