February 18, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Sugary | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Gea | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Mercy Mercy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Zabava | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Mylittlerunaway | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | A New Peace | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 5 | Dream Robber | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Quantum Quest | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
5 | 3 | Too Late | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Stir the Pot | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 4 | Alexander’s Dream | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Run Snappy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Fort Bridger | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Cosmo | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Street Ruckus | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Goldini | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | El Joy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Bender | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Swiss Swoo (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Me B Bubba T | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Tizzy Twister | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Sweet California | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Princess Alexis | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Roman Empress | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Warren’s Queen Bee | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Ghostem | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Admiral Aeschbach | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Equivalence | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Pistachio Princess | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Song of Fire | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Floral Essence | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | St Helena | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Renegade Princess | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Resarcio | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Divine Armor | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Memo Daddy (CHI) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Motown Music | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Holden the Lute | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Mongolian Ford | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Soy Tapatio | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Basket Case | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
8 | 7 | Pretty Rena | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
6 | 5 | Beachgrass | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Blossoming | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
7 | 6 | Ice Cold Gold | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Unfaithful Ways | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Sweet Heidelberg | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
4 | 98 | A Crown for Kitten | 0.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.