February 11, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Stone’s River | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Algeria (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Endless Sunset | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mongol Altai | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Primer Dimer | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dominant Soul | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mashhad Flats | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Steven | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Hussar | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Riviera Champ | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abadon | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Who’s Candy | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smuggler’s Run | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Franklin One Star | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty Always | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moose Mitchell | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Star Entry | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Im Still Thirsty | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Richards the Dream | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Li’l Grazen | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Swirling | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bella Renella | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Master | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Cool | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suezaaana | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lady Mo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Steps (IRE) | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unusual Ride | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roses R Blue | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Va Va Voom | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bowl of Cherries | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Westward Breeze | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Delmas | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Art | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Fury | 0.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magicnthemoonlight | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy for Carmel | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salto de Tigre | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3 | Big Novel | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Vivacious Vanessa | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Emerald Lake | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Precious Insight | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Professors’ Pride | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Sue Ettas Ghost | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | She’s Bulletproof | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Smilin Evie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Never Sway | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Connelly | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Beauty | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight’s Girl | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Softly | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucy Jane | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Diplomacy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ravenclaw | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 7 | Frontier Market | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grit and Curiosity | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Via Egnatia | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Ian Glass | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Castle | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Very Irish | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Preaching Trainer | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McWherter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | Follow the Signs | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Johnny Podres | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 98 | Alleva | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.