January 16, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rio Ocho (IRE) | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flintmore | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oncoming | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just About Enough | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flint Stroll | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daniel’s Magic | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Delta Wind | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rose’s Crystal | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Issa Court | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Mama Sue | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Square | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gotta Be Lucky | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vigilantia | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laura Mars (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mendham Mill | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | M Is for Magic | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sinners Saints | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She Shot Me Down | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What a Feeling | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Perfecto Amor | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Voyager | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lightning Fast | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sometimes Always | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gerlach’s | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongol Altai | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Summer Dream | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie’s Two Stents | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sai Con (FR) | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exit Row | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weegee | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cardoza | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sting Like a Bee | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Little Rachel | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smoothlikebuttah | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Roses R Blue | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Del Mar Drama | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Miss Ellie | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Supersonic Flyer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Virulente (FR) | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liam’s Dove | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rock the Belles | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shes Bout a Mover | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impeachd Alexander (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Steps | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Half Past Twelve | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gracelund Gray | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smitten by Kitten | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Li’l Grazen | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saturday Heist | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Rageous | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mucha Woman | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shanghai Sunrise | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Constitutionaffair | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Heatwave | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly to Mars | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fly Nightly | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Niles Channel | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hapi Hapi | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liberal (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Tembo | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.