January 16, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cave Creek | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love and Lemons | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belmar Beauty | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Autumn Aspen | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cry Like a Baby | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Altered Dream | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blueridge Mountain | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Big Falcon Rocket | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tigerbeach | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | White Mist | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lighthawk | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Foolish Steve | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Convict Pike | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sharpendup | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Angel | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canada’s Customs | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | World of Hurt | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anita’s Vision | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Macee | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bougie Marie | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winnie B | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Reckless Ransom | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Priority | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Halfmoon Reef | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hooray Austin | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Song | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Valor | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loveu and Proudofu | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Donna’s Court | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | C’Mon Ve | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Callen Feels Good | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bind Faith | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vero Campione | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Helaire | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All Mike No Mae | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Lightning | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Kimosabi | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Guitartuition Plzz | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cadillac Ridge | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mizzen Monarch | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Gone Sweet | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Debs Prayer | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charged Temp | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Spider Legs | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | World War | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Nin to Win | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | She’s Our Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Tee Burns | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sparky Hale | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Loco | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Speedy G | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Loyal to the Game | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fastnfurious | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Blue Line | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Golden Luna | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mom’s Red Lipstick | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sail On Ellen | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady of Luxury | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chikara | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Threatlevelmidnite (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Vividly (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Inajiffy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mucha Mezquina | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Swot Analysis | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Release the Beast | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pickens | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Barrel Man | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zion | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Freddie Mac | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Brew | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Pedigree | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.