January 15, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fore Flag | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jack Sixpack | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Worse Read Sanchez | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Philosopher’s Tone | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vanisky | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Papa Steve | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Erebus | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cause She’s a Lady | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Warren’s Show Bizz | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizzy Twister | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostem | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Belle My Belle | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blonde Bombshell | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Equivalence | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – California Cup Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Highland Ghost | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Finneus | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Draw Munnings | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Straight Up G | 0.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sippin N Kissin | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Agador Spartacus | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hail Freedom | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lemon Sushi | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Really Big News | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Limited Heatwave | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Square Cat | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Partyofsixteen | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sawasdee | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mask Off | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Gun | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Lit | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smiling Goodbye | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don Daniel | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arthur Spooner | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Make Mine Wine | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Pouch | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Event | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Indian Peak | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aligato | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Fish | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Camino Del Paraiso | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whooping Jay | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ferrariano | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Luvluv | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Margot’s Boy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gates of Heaven | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crash Corrigan | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suzie Qzz Brother | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scary Fast Smile | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Admirably | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brace for Impact | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alpine Thunder | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rookie Mistake | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alice Marble | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Warren’s Showtime | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Kook | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | She’s Devoted | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Game | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nardini | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rebalation | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Eddie’s New Dream | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Leggs Galore | 3.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sedamar | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smiling Shirlee | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Governor Goteven | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nice Ice | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Positivity | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brickyard Ride | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colt Fiction | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Principe Carlo | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peaceful Transfer | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loud Mouth | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Letsgetlucky | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rifey | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Rose Dawson | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vivacious Vanessa | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Professors’ Pride | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Novel | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dendera | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Vaping Angel | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eleuthera | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madiha | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Precious Insight | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Deuxieme Etoile | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Munny Penny | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ellamira | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.