Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 15, 2022

January 15, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fore Flag 1.60 1.5 3-1
5 5 Jack Sixpack 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Worse Read Sanchez 1.80 2.1 4-1
6 6 Philosopher’s Tone 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Vanisky 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Big Papa Steve 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Erebus 20.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cause She’s a Lady 1.20 1.5 3-1
7 6 Warren’s Show Bizz 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Tizzy Twister 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Ghostem 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Belle My Belle 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Blonde Bombshell 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 98 Equivalence 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – California Cup Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Highland Ghost 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Finneus 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Fast Draw Munnings 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Straight Up G 0.80 3.1 6-1
2 2 Sippin N Kissin 20.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Agador Spartacus 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hail Freedom 1.60 2 4-1
8 7 Lemon Sushi 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Really Big News 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Limited Heatwave 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Square Cat 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Partyofsixteen 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Sawasdee 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Mask Off 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Gun 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Stay Lit 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Smiling Goodbye 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Don Daniel 12.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Arthur Spooner 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Make Mine Wine 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Real Pouch 30.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Big Event 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Unusual Heat Turf Classic S. Presented By City National Bank

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Indian Peak 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Aligato 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Big Fish 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Camino Del Paraiso 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Whooping Jay 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Ferrariano 12.00 6 11-1
4 3 Luvluv 12.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Margot’s Boy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gates of Heaven 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Crash Corrigan 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Suzie Qzz Brother 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Scary Fast Smile 3.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Admirably 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Brace for Impact 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Alpine Thunder 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Rookie Mistake 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sunshine Millions Filly And Mare Turf Sprint S. Presented By John Deere

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Alice Marble 8.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 Warren’s Showtime 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 California Kook 8.00 3.7 7-1
13 12 She’s Devoted 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Super Game 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Nardini 12.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Rebalation 15.00 6.2 12-1
11 10 Eddie’s New Dream 15.00 6.6 12-1
12 11 Leggs Galore 3.00 6.6 13-1
10 9 Sedamar 6.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Smiling Shirlee 20.00 7.7 15-1
8 7 Governor Goteven 20.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Nice Ice 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Don Valpredo California Cup Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Positivity 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Brickyard Ride 1.80 1.7 3-1
8 8 Colt Fiction 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Principe Carlo 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Peaceful Transfer 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 Loud Mouth 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Letsgetlucky 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Rifey 15.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Leigh Ann Howard California Cup Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Rose Dawson 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Vivacious Vanessa 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Professors’ Pride 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Big Novel 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Dendera 12.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Vaping Angel 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Eleuthera 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Madiha 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Precious Insight 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 La Deuxieme Etoile 20.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Munny Penny 30.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Ellamira 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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