January 15, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Call of Honor | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Graves Mill Road | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chase Tracker | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stud Puppy | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Behavin Myself | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | African Warrior | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Axis | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Demigod | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Oregon County | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Into Orbit | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trail Driver | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Hard Street | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bitter Vixen | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Premier Wish | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nisi Prius | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Let’s Cruise | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Caught Looking | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Simona’s Choice | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anthropology | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Montgomery Park | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge Erica | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Princess Lilli Bug | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lichita | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Hoptown Honey | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dutch Treat | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Shi O’Shi | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mongolian Lotus | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Girls a Bullet | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Dontmeswithdiscat | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Boss Lady | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | War Ballad | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | American Xperiment | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Back to Normal | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magnolia Midnight | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forty Stripes | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pressure | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swift Tap | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buckingham Prince | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Argumental | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Distorted Secrets | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Raceday Attire | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fightingtemptation | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Blame Nellie | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princedreamcess | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Tub Hottie | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fashionably Quick | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t She a Pistol | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Funtimegirl | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vita Bona | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rowdy Daisy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Road Bible | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Five Dreams | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | American Chaos | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ernie Banker | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Boss Ben | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Windcracker | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Special Pryce | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | That’s Something | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wise Khozan | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wherever He Is | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Appraisal | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outasite | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fast Lane | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kupuna | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Switzer | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Skate to Heaven | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Rome | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Little Frappucino | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Blue Norther | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pinch Hitter | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Stockpiler | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Paid in Full | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Doodle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Life On the Nile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Coastal Chaos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Kentucky Bourbon | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fifth Season S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Concert Tour | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Necker Island | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mucho | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thomas Shelby | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snapper Sinclair | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Long Range Toddy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Prospector | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rated R Superstar | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atoka | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Gar Hole | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Choctaw | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rubiginous | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Data Storm | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Captain Don | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holding Pattern | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Goodnight Archie | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ima Bling Cat | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Private Lake | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Navy Seal | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Citrus Bay | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stomping Hotrod | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mo Betta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dusty Hill | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.