January 14, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Rank and File | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Double Dare You | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Blues Mary | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
1A | 7 | Northern Alliance | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
1 | 3 | Get None | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
2 | 1 | Princess Stella (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Southern Dudette | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 8 | Love and Lemons | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Tensas Virginia | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Stop Shop N Drop | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Bode’s Connection | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Pat Hand Girl | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Beanie | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Zumra Bayou | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Easy Aces | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Come On Birdie | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Judy’s Way | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Zandrea’s | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Watrugonnadokaren | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Paytonsattheplate | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Tourrista | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Sariah Sariah | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Shanghai Ronnie | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Dusty Boy | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Behemah Star | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Martinized | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Drilling Report | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Our Blue Jay | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Miz Troubadour | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Tappin’time | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Candy Anne | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Sweet Bay | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Candy Call | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Pi Yo Princess | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Talented Tapper | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Hello Hero | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Allocate | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Clara Belle | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Swizzlecity | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Aunt Ruth | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Zen (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Chaton Rouge | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Lady Clare | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Bee Right | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Lady Maeve (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | More Memories | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Big Chopper | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | My Heavy Son | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Cherokee Takeover | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Cosmic Train | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Bron and Brow | 0.80 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Letstakeitoutside | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Seven Scents | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Beachcombing | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
9 | 9 | Jack the Umpire | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Coltonator | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Lamartine (BRZ) | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | May Hour | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Hope and Dignity | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Gray Attempt | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
8 | 8 | High Limit Room | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Strike Me Down | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Quarky | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Mrs. Judy | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Speedy Dudette | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Philly Wins | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | Maggie’s Return | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Sumitup | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Lil Adeau | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
7 | 7 | Rue Lala | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
12 | 12 | Steph’s Spirit | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
11 | 11 | Brave Nugget | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
9 | 9 | Our Southern Girl | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
10 | 10 | Ronnie’s Peso | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
1 | 1 | Half Dialed | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
13 | 13 | Connie Baby | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.