Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 14, 2022

January 14, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rank and File 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Double Dare You 3.00 3.4 7-1
3 2 Blues Mary 3.50 3.6 7-1
1A 7 Northern Alliance 2.50 5.3 10-1
1 3 Get None 2.50 6 11-1
2 1 Princess Stella (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Southern Dudette 6.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Love and Lemons 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tensas Virginia 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Stop Shop N Drop 3.50 3 6-1
8 8 Bode’s Connection 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Pat Hand Girl 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Beanie 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Zumra Bayou 4.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Easy Aces 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Come On Birdie 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Judy’s Way 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Zandrea’s 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Watrugonnadokaren 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Paytonsattheplate 1.80 3.9 7-1
1 1 Tourrista 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Sariah Sariah 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shanghai Ronnie 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Dusty Boy 15.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Behemah Star 1.60 3.9 7-1
6 6 Martinized 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Drilling Report 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Our Blue Jay 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miz Troubadour 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Tappin’time 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Candy Anne 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Sweet Bay 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Candy Call 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Pi Yo Princess 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Talented Tapper 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Hello Hero 6.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Allocate 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Clara Belle 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Swizzlecity 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Aunt Ruth 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Zen (IRE) 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Chaton Rouge 20.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Lady Clare 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Bee Right 4.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Lady Maeve (IRE) 8.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 More Memories 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Big Chopper 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 My Heavy Son 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Cherokee Takeover 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Cosmic Train 5.00 5 10-1
5 5 Bron and Brow 0.80 5.1 10-1
4 4 Letstakeitoutside 10.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Seven Scents 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Beachcombing 8.00 2.4 4-1
9 9 Jack the Umpire 10.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Coltonator 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Lamartine (BRZ) 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 May Hour 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Hope and Dignity 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Gray Attempt 2.50 5.9 11-1
8 8 High Limit Room 4.50 8.3 16-1
1 1 Strike Me Down 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Quarky 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mrs. Judy 15.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Speedy Dudette 5.00 5 9-1
2 2 Philly Wins 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Maggie’s Return 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Sumitup 8.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Lil Adeau 12.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Rue Lala 3.50 8.1 15-1
12 12 Steph’s Spirit 4.50 8.4 16-1
11 11 Brave Nugget 12.00 9 17-1
9 9 Our Southern Girl 10.00 9 17-1
10 10 Ronnie’s Peso 8.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Half Dialed 20.00 9.7 18-1
13 13 Connie Baby 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.