January 13, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Labarde | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fromanothamutha | 0.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keeping the Edge | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Improper | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jester’s Song | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stjames | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mashnee Girl | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Destinationwnrscir | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Left Leaning Lucy | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Voice of Spring | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | That Is Key | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shalimar Gardens | 0.20 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 8 | Wait a Minute | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Annika Gold | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Lady by Choice | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 9 | Stefanie On Fleek | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Foxtail | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Indian Bella | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 7 | Gringotts | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2B | 4 | Subiaco | 1.80 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Quasar | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Norman Queen | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bavarian Creme | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Jessica | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Girl | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sabreen | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vivazano | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steppin’ Hawk | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Poetry | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glitter Up | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dolce Sera | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cupids Girl | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parapluie | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Continentalcongres | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Belleshazza | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mostly Harmless | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Bastet | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | High School Crush | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | A Ring Thing | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Khali Magic | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jasminesque | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Matoula | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pendolino | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | To a T | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | High Tide | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Royal Tryst | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Blu Grotto | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2B | 9 | Johnnypump | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Pier Forty | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Liam’s Fire | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sandro the Great | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Giocare | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Fingal | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Mister Candy Ride | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lil Commissioner | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Green Light Go | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Sound | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Dunhill | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Money Code | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Illustrious | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pony Soprano | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pit Stop Man | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Principality | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dr. Levy | 1.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Colgate Kid | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dontbelate | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rvindicated | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | R Boy Cheekum | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.