January 8, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Roz | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Lady of Thoroton | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Frosty Invasion | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Write the Check | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Banksamillion | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Cara’s Daydreamer | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Beautiful Banks | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | False Hope | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Ryan’s Cat | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Carrothers | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Flatter Me Please | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Sibelius | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Twelth Man | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Chowda | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Hold the Salsa | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 4 | War in Paradise | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
7 | 8 | New York Supreme | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
5 | 6 | Love’s Misery | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
4 | 5 | Spun for Lu Lu | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
11 | 12 | Torren’s Tale | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
10 | 11 | New York Banker | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
8 | 9 | Bonana Fanna Foe | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
2 | 3 | Fortune’s Sister | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Inouaintalkintome | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
9 | 10 | Escapology | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
1A | 2 | Live in Five | 3.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
6 | 7 | Mondeuse | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Fitzpatrick | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Malibu Star | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Risk Profile | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Sound Money | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Send the Word | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Starting Over | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | American Monarch | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Market Alert | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Mr. Briggs | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
1A | 13 | Confectioner | 30.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
12 | 12 | Striking Speed | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
13 | 14 | A Colt Named Susie | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
10 | 10 | Macho Boy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Lokoya Road | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | Respect for All | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
1 | 2 | Speechin N Teachin | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
2 | 1 | Jacoba | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
6 | 6 | Scotty | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
11 | 11 | Kid Chocolate | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
3 | 3 | Forever Wicked | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
4 | 4 | Obsessed | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
8 | 8 | Profusion | 2.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | One Whirlwind Ride | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
8 | 8 | American Gentleman | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | King James | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Jake Rocks | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Trash Talker | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Subsidize | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Colormepazzi | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Extreme | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Charlie Five O | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Grudge | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Esotica | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
12 | 12 | Impazible Donna | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | My Roxy Girl | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Ruvies in Time | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | Wailin Josie | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Irish Constitution | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
9 | 9 | Prairie Fire | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Honey Money | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Chasing Cara | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Steal My Heart | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Rossa Veloce | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Say Florida Sandy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alpha Chi Rho | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Battle Station | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Lobsta | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Saratoga Pal | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Chestertown | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | My Boy Tate | 1.20 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Celine the Queen | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
13 | 13 | Twist Just Right | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
3 | 3 | Royal Currency | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
10 | 10 | Ribot’s Valentine | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | Darn That Song | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Chiara | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | True Empress | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Easy Play | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
11 | 11 | Mrs. Banks | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
7 | 7 | Georgie’s Ladies | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
9 | 9 | Playmaggieforme | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
4 | 4 | Belarus | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
12 | 12 | Cindy’s Choice | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.