January 7, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dubby Dubbie | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Current | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kazan (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tartini | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Best Chance | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Starship Defiant | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Joy | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Renella | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Gem | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Chick | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Keystone Field | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Move Over (GB) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stage Ready | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Buzz | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Builder | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | French Getaway | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Family Biz | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | East Rand | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Elana My Princess | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | For Love Not Money | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Halo | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Return to Harbor | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil’s Big Shot | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Dream | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iconic Storm | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Phoenix Tears | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wipe the Slate | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | McWherter | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick Finish | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Augusta Melody | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mesut | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Scott Daddy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Prez | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Noble Contessa | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Destiny’s Journey | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Take a Leap | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mercy Mercy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot On the Trail | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Drive | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Be Lucky | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Thrilling | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s So Nice (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kuora (PER) | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Javanica | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sensible Cat | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit of Bermuda (IRE) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Greg’s Diva | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bristol Bayou | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Adare Manor | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Micro Share | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Everything | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indy’s Star | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muy Chistosa | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Heidelberg | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dramatizer | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Badger Kitten | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chasingserendipity | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Can’thelpfallin (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Varoma | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cecile’s Chapter | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lila At the Beach | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Soulmate | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Del Mar Flash | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Pearl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Westward Breeze | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.