Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 7, 2022

January 7, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Roux Bandit 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sadie’s Ransom 2.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Halo’s Song 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Sho Nuff 1.80 5.9 11-1
2 2 In for a Penny 4.00 6 11-1
5 5 Molli Way 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Greeley’s Dealer 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Tensas Toddy 2.00 4.1 8-1
1 2 Guitarzan 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Unwanted Intruder 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Temprano 4.50 5 9-1
7 8 Meditate 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Forestdungone 5.00 6 11-1
8 9 Purim King 12.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Broad Decision 15.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ready Ready 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Charlie’s Peak 8.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 First I’ve Seen 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Gotteminabind 15.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Scarlet Storm 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Hurricane Siren 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Lutie Mo 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Katie’s C 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Courtly Doc 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Lake Marie 4.50 7 13-1
11 11 Cajun Two Step 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 That’s My Mama 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Oneholylion 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sandys Blaze 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Baptism 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Spread the Faith 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Top Brass 5.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Lunar Light 4.00 8 15-1
2 2 Frank the Mayor 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Sunnyonastormyday 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Voyant 3.00 5 9-1
3 3 Zong Tough 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Boujie One 8.00 5 9-1
9 9 Paralissfrmanalyss 4.50 5 9-1
2 2 Smoky Topaz 2.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Production Time 20.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Kingston Street 6.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Shady Grady 12.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Moro Pharoah 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 G Don’t Know 20.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Harry’s Lil Hippie 15.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Homeland Messa 4.50 5 9-1
4 4 Midnight Nightmare 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Cajun Berti 2.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Desiard 5.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Malasong 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Smiling Song 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Pay Dirt 10.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Buck Dynasty 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Cap Rock Miner 3.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Dutchman 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Sir Bronx 2.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Taken Back 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Liam Skye 8.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Quality Production 6.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 One King Cat 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Freudian Sip 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Gettinintomischief 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Orleans S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kela’s Turn 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Ima Discreet Lady 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Shellby 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Icy Charlie 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Misty Day 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Cilla 2.00 5 9-1
9 9 Onerollofthedice 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Broke Financing 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Miss Pat’s Girl 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Macho Mark 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Last to Know 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Sobek 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Trophy Daddy 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Diside 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 He’s a Lucky Man 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Oops Wediditagain 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Callthewolfe 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Texas Rule 3.50 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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