December 27, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Uncorked | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jerusalema (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sterling Crest (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | I Got a Gal | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eleuthera | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Let Freedom Rein | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exit Soul | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Celestia | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Girl (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Isola Mia | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Micro Share | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Starship Sky | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zahra | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Defiant | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Al’s Princess | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chrome of Our Own | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prince Abama (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Li Mu Bai (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Memo Daddy (CHI) | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lincoln Hawk (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Appreciated | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liberal (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Niles Channel | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Velvet Ghost | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. T’s Thirsty | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Im Still Thirsty | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Hussar | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mashhad Flats | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gregory’s Pride | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vantastic | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Constitutionaffair | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Newpark (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | C Falls | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mucho Del Oro | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mac Daddy Too | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Maker | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tigerhon (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Elusive Treat (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gold Phoenix (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wipe the Slate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Encroachment | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Parnelli | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bud Knight | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stone’s River | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holden the Lute | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Legend | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfecto Amor | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Flatter | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Wilder Than Most | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fly to Mars | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Betito | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aligato | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Hapi Hapi | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mischievous Path | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Dr. Troutman | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tallemark | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Rose | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Anitanewmercedes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ronamo | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charge Cash | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bronn | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Squalotoro | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harbor Sky | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salah | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sly | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Active Account | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Annie’s Song (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Duvet Day (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hemmerle | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pammy’s Ready | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Rena | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Granola Girl | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Dragon Queen | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Got a Way | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beachgrass | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Darling Donna | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Classical Romance | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock the Bourbon | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.