December 11, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Convince | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Coal Shaft | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bossy Soul | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Goddess Aphrodite | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s So Pretty | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 98 | Flatterwithjewels | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Hot Pursuit | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Black Storm | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Satanta | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alleva | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | J T’s A. T. M. | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Street Vision | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Equity | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dozo | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Win Often | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Li’l Grazen | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Your Royal Coil | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | California Cool | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz a Master | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Mo | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Dime for Me | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Funkenstein | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mongol Altai | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Humboldt | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Daddys Specialdark | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Whiskey Vision | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Annie’s Chief | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Granada Flavor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Prince Ziggy | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Under the Stars | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Comedic | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Manorelli | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Weemissgrammy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucy Jane | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Indy’s Star | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Everything | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Waiting On Wendy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Missing Penny | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coloratura | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Heidelberg | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | She’s Got a Way | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Diamond | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Law Abidin Citizen | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Strongconstitution | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fore Left | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Rule of King’s | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Bango | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Essential Wager | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sonic Brees | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Run Snappy | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | American Theorem | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Teton Valley | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | See Through It | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fratelli | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wipe the Slate | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Doppelganger | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Memes | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Creek | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trebbiano | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Piroli | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blessed Brother | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Fury | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Missing Maurice | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asphalt Andy | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Syzslak | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Messier | 0.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Durante | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barossa | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slow Down Andy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Olympic Legend | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Supersonic Flyer | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Your Graze | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Channel | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coco’s Joy | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elana My Princess | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Strike | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil’s Big Shot | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheila’s Charlie | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.