December 10, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Squalotoro | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salah | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Fast | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sly | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tembo | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Take a Leap | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Destiny’s Journey | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Awesome Drive | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mad Grace | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gotta Be Lucky | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rose Princess | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Northern Gem | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz a Master | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Ready Jet Go | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Stretch | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Suite Madam Blue | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Scream and Shout | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Happy Trails | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rev Rita | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cayton Kid | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stoic Luna | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Philly Lishes | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Return to Harbor | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River Runs North | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lady Hussar | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crash Corrigan | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Gronk | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunrise Journey | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jazz Hands | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rifey | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot n’Famous | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Standing O | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alpine Thunder | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Top Royal | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Heredia Boxer | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mad Catter | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Safe Combination | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | December Skye | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paul Vincents Poem | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rocketcent | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Strike | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 98 | Annie’s Chief | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | La’och Aloysius | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pollo d’Oro | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Apollo | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Runner | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Alchemy | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mongolian Bonus | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Majesty | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curly Esa | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Soviet Problem S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dendera | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Maddox | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Professors’ Pride | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | At the Spa | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Novel | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Girl Ranger | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Munny Penny | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madiha | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smilin Evie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.