December 5, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sauls Call | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. T’s Thirsty | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Juan | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Hussar | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Im Still Thirsty | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ruthies Racer | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Sonny | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flatterwithjewels | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jamminjl | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Al’s Princess | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warren’s Memorable | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Tigress | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Sweet | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sai Phar | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Sway | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Makara | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surely Spectacular | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ryano Rose | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A. P. Squared | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red Panty Night | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Halo | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dorita’s Happy | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roses for Marilyn | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quiet Forest | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rattrapante | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chao Mar | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Cal Rough | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Lady Hussar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mistaka | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cat Lady Blues | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Speedy Lou C | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Square Cat | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Suzie Qzz Brother | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Uncle Fred | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lemon Sushi | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sting Like a Bee | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kitten’s Kid | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lil Nas | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Scary Fast Smile | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Augusta Melody | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nichiren | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Vibes Only | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charge Cash | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cherubic Factor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Quick Finish | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Aurelian Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Father O’Flaherty | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tacoflavoredkisses | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fun Coupons | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unthrottled | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Cheddar | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Older Brother | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Like Fred | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kidmon | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vegas Moon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Funny Feline | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Finger Tip | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swanning | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Sassafras | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Increase Stakes | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Dawson | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Empress | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tripdownmemorylane | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bayakoa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | As Time Goes By | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stellar Sound | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight d’Oro | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warren’s Showtime | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bye Bye Bertie | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harvest Moon | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lisette | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.