December 4, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sir London | 0.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Portsmouth | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wesleyan | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | L L L Cool | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Egomania | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Misawa | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Durango | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Malice | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maui Road | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iconic Storm | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eagles Anthem | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mayhem and Chaos | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shooters Shoot | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vittorio | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Margot’s Boy | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Notre Dame | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willy the Cobbler | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luvluv | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Roses R Blue | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | So Very Smart | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Tokyo | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Saturday Heist | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Keep Your Coil | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Anatolia | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Mylittlerunaway | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lunatic | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zahra | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Untouched Elegance | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Blend | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Discernment | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Baby | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mavalous Mavalous | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Passion | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Season to Remember | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Durga | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magicalchic | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truth Prevails | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brio Is Awesome | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Croix | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Straus’s Place | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mizzen Power | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inesperado | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mongol Altai | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Me Macho | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irresistibly Sexy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Storm the Gate | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Circle Back | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Starlet S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grace Adler | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo Memories | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eda | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Desert Dawn | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tonito’s | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Benedict Canyon | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Arrabiata | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | C J Express | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Toasted At Dawn | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abadon | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Rob | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lookinformischief | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Real Pouch | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | B D R Baxter | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | Pewaukee Clan | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.