December 3, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Swamp’n Ain’t Ez | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sometimes Always | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Intense | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captain N. Barron | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malakai Moxie | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Montana Moon | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Street Behavior | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Warning | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Surprise Fashion | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Starship Chewbacca | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Active Account | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Wager | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rebel War | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indy Jones | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barbiere | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gov From Above | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Candy Zip | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awhitesportscoat | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whisky My God (ARG) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Very Irish | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jan’s Reserve | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hydrostatic | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Red Valor | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Defense Wins | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Half Right | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Equity | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Owning | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Stir the Pot | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crash Corrigan | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surplus | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honorary Degree | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Borkan | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gordy’s Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Drop Shot | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Soi Phet | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pyeong Chang | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Finding Silver | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Primitivo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catfish Charlie | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Oubabe | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mob Boss | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street Humor | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Impact | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agador Spartacus | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Marcus | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Franklin One Star | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tucker’s Tribute | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Boss Harty | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grandconcourse Guy | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Careless Kitten | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Flatter | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Well | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daddys Specialdark | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quantum Quest | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eight Makar | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cardoza | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.