November 28, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lisa Marie | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Broken Proposal | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Bit | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Join the Dance | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Maeve (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Intro | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mardene | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reign by Rein | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy’s Dream | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | San Nicola Star | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forty Smooth | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Under the Eye | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cocotara | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Vixen | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roche’s Point | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mamita’s Chica | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Master McGrath | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Petawawa | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Free Shipping | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Who Says | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enchant Me | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cielo d’Oro | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Youens | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eminent Domain | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Maverick Man | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samuel H | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fifth Season | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Polydeuces | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liverpool Man | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Birchmount Rd | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Denmark | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Setson | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Right to Strike | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Diamondback | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Advance | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hypervelocity | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie’s Flatter | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Streaming Tap | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Uncle Joe | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ice Road | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lilnmighty | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Teddy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Flare | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bet | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bet N Win | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Snookered | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saskatchewan | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chancel | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Expo | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Benlion | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mad Dog N Joe | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Spin | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Niagara Skyline | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rookie Radar | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Executive Giant | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He Misses Me | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Grayvenscroft | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Soul | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Circle of Friends | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forester’s Fortune | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Score | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sandy Bay | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spite Store | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Secret | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Celebratory | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Mazarine S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kanta | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moira | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Barbara | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Hoity Toity | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chocolateaddiction | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Judith | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aubrieta | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sake (FR) | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guileful | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Grey S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Hicksy | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Churchtown | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | God of Love | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stowaway | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | International | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | On Thin Ice | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heat Merchant | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shamateur | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Be Like Clint | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ironstone | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speak Unity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Minkster | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sansa’s Vow | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quinte Road | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Richies Noble Girl | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bequia | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emmeline | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Endorphin Rush | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | English Biscuit | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Righteous Robbie | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wood Be Wild | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Old Blue Cliff | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red Maple | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m the Sheriff | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackie’s Pride | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Live by Faith | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Romantic | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Impressive Speed | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Canola World | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pride and Passion | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bocelli | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Highland Society | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | North Battleford | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ante Up Alex | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Just Start Me Up | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jojomar | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Adelaide Court | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wenjack | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frac Attack | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.