November 28, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | La Aitana | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heart of Secrets | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Some Is Nine | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Survivor | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Melody | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amaretto Sour | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Priestess | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Freedom | 1.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hicktown | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chica Rabiosa | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miz the Best | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luckbealadytonight | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday Connection | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No More Mask | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grecian Pharoah | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fore On Seven | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Two Kid | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Straight Up Guy | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Armando R | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luxero | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inspector Frost | 1.80 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Ferber | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Willow’s Charm | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tipsy Tourist | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bullets Lady | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nine Mast | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alys Great Notion | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Temper | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Writtenbythestars | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pearlyville | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Icy Harbor | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Fermat | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Justinthenickotime | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Market Mover | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Al Brown | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Galatians | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Twitty City | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rippolino | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yes Sir Colonel | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | The Angry Man | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | One Nation | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gunhand | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Krug | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Not Slow | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Made to Be Lucky | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Power G | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buffum’s Beauty | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Notion to Tapit | 1.60 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Rock | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chalk Hill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | San Antone | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spitball | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rapid Response | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bardolino | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alpha Chi Rho | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jackie A | 2.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Orientate | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Mule | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Al Loves Josie | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kenner | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Playboy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rominski | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Avieator | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Radical Right | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slaats | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | El Milagra | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Celestial Diva | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Expect the Sunrise | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arbela | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Corner | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scarlet’s Song | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bellswillberinging | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | C Two | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.