November 28, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Grief | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Creole Charlie | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Micajah | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
2 | 1 | Wicked Alex | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
6 | 5 | Mighty Able | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
3 | 2 | Adrenaline | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
4 | 3 | Custom Kat | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | One Tough Charlie | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Lets Go All Theway | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Brina | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Hot as Blue Blazes | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Sweet Bay | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Tappin’time | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Livy B | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Face Card Contessa | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1A | 4 | Cave Creek | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
2 | 2 | Get Directions | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Winning Quality | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Belmar Beauty | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
7 | 8 | Lucky Linz | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
5 | 6 | Altered Dream | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
4 | 5 | Blondie Lox Babe | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
6 | 7 | Say Yes Again | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Hornswoggle | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Plemmonston | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Unorthodox | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Cartier Cat | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Ogre’s Lion King | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Indian Springs | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
6 | 5 | Youkillinmecat | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
4 | 4 | Duveen | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 9 | Grey Sloan | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
7 | 6 | Thisguycanfly | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | K T’s Jilted Groom | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | R and R Star | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Tool Box | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
8 | 7 | Holden Pass | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
9 | 8 | Conquistador Gold | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
4 | 4 | Argybargy Buck | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
3 | 3 | Yankee Hail Cat | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
6 | 6 | Speedy Luis | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 10 | Priority Points | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 7 | Iberville | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
7 | 4 | Celestial Finish | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
5 | 3 | Rumble Ready | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
3 | 2 | Lunar Rocket | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Bucky Bik Coin | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
9 | 6 | Excellency | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
8 | 5 | Street N Sour | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Seeking Sawyer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Holy City | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Corrente de Ouro | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | New Year’s Party | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Ova Charged | 0.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Steph’sfullasugar | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Half Koo Koo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Ourperfectprincess | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Fancy Mallory | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Abuela’s Humor | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
1 | 7 | Pearl Earring | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
1A | 8 | Delightful Moment | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 5 | Chopin Drive | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 1 | Great Adventure | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
7 | 4 | American Deputy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
3 | 2 | Paris Kentucky | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
5 | 4 | Dreamworker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Swizzlecity | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 9 | Shishito (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Queen of Light | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 6 | Chaton Rouge | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 1 | Miss Caruso | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
9 | 7 | Satisfy U | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
5 | 4 | Gamble On Gabby | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
7 | 6 | American First | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
6 | 5 | Lake Runner | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
11 | 8 | Autumn’s Lil Doll | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
4 | 3 | Pat Hand Girl | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
1 | 1 | My Gal Charlotte | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Both Ours | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Toosie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 9 | Joey’s Sassy Shana | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
3 | 2 | Custom Guitar | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
8 | 8 | Bless d’South | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.