Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 28, 2021

November 28, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Grief 3.00 3 6-1
8 7 Creole Charlie 2.50 4.4 8-1
7 6 Micajah 2.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Wicked Alex 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Mighty Able 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Adrenaline 30.00 6.3 12-1
4 3 Custom Kat 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 One Tough Charlie 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lets Go All Theway 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Brina 2.00 4 8-1
2 2 Hot as Blue Blazes 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Sweet Bay 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Tappin’time 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Livy B 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Face Card Contessa 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 4 Cave Creek 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Get Directions 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Winning Quality 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Belmar Beauty 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 8 Lucky Linz 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 6 Altered Dream 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 5 Blondie Lox Babe 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 7 Say Yes Again 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Hornswoggle 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Plemmonston 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Unorthodox 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Cartier Cat 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ogre’s Lion King 4.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Indian Springs 10.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 Youkillinmecat 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Duveen 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Grey Sloan 4.50 5.2 10-1
7 6 Thisguycanfly 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 K T’s Jilted Groom 3.50 6.5 12-1
1 1 R and R Star 8.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Tool Box 4.50 7.1 13-1
8 7 Holden Pass 10.00 8 15-1
9 8 Conquistador Gold 12.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Argybargy Buck 10.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Yankee Hail Cat 12.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Speedy Luis 20.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Priority Points 20.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Iberville 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 4 Celestial Finish 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 3 Rumble Ready 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Lunar Rocket 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Bucky Bik Coin 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 6 Excellency 4.50 6.5 12-1
8 5 Street N Sour 15.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Seeking Sawyer 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Holy City 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Corrente de Ouro 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 New Year’s Party 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Ova Charged 0.80 3.7 7-1
4 4 Steph’sfullasugar 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Half Koo Koo 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Galaxy Thirtysix 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Ourperfectprincess 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Fancy Mallory 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Abuela’s Humor 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 7 Pearl Earring 3.50 4.2 8-1
1A 8 Delightful Moment 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 5 Chopin Drive 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Great Adventure 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 4 American Deputy 8.00 6 11-1
3 2 Paris Kentucky 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 4 Dreamworker 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Swizzlecity 8.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Shishito (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Queen of Light 10.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Chaton Rouge 30.00 12.1 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Miss Caruso 4.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Satisfy U 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Gamble On Gabby 4.50 7.2 14-1
7 6 American First 6.00 7.8 15-1
6 5 Lake Runner 12.00 8.6 16-1
11 8 Autumn’s Lil Doll 12.00 8.8 17-1
4 3 Pat Hand Girl 10.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 My Gal Charlotte 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Both Ours 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Toosie 8.00 SCRATCH
12 9 Joey’s Sassy Shana 12.00 10.2 19-1
3 2 Custom Guitar 10.00 10.6 20-1
8 8 Bless d’South 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.