Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 27, 2021

November 27, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 La Familia 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Mending 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Tapdancing Girl 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Sunshineanrainbows 4.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Offlee Graysful 30.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Who Knows What 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Closertotheheart 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Castilleja 3.50 7.3 14-1
4 4 Bourbon Wildcat 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Creative Storm 15.00 4.1 8-1
13 13 Gold Fellow 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Let Us Make Gold 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 R Tap 12.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Don Ciccio 10.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Albertano 12.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Hair of the Dog 6.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Divine Proportion 10.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Gambling Man 20.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Lookin for Justice 20.00 9 17-1
2 2 Cup Match 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Prince of Freedom 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fulgurant 4.50 11.2 21-1
6 6 Baltimore Bud 6.00 13.7 26-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Reina La Kelsy 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Breviary 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 I’m Listening 4.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Unrequited Love 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Desbordes 1.80 5.7 11-1
5 5 Viking Queen 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Lady Fox 5.00 6 11-1
8 8 Millie Child 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Dancer’s Melody 8.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Win Then Grin 15.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Love Is Strong 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Ellie Be Dancing 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 M. J.’s Lady 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Coral Summer 12.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Captivating Gal 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Fudge Cake 2.50 7.8 15-1
1 1 Netti Girl 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 My Way Or Else 12.00 8 15-1
8 8 Wicked Jane 3.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Supreme Blessing 5.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 10 Mice and Men 30.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Bahama Channel 20.00 5.2 10-1
11 12 Rock and Fellers (ARG) 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Hard Fought 8.00 5.6 11-1
10 11 Yabba Dabba Dude 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Chrisatude 4.50 6.1 12-1
4 4 Amen Corner 10.00 6.4 12-1
1A 9 Mr. Pete 4.00 6.4 12-1
1 3 Interesting Legacy 4.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Getoffmyback 10.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Federale 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Stroll Smokin 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – City Of Laurel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Depository 20.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Awesome Gerry 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Three Two Zone 20.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Plamen 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Everett’s Song 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Ridin With Biden 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Pickin’ Time 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 He’smyhoneybadger 3.00 7 13-1
1 1 Boldish 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kenny Had a Notion 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Safely Kept S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Happy Constitution 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Belle of the North 10.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Juror Number Four 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Be Sneaky 20.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Prodigy Doll 8.00 5 9-1
10 10 Malibu Beauty 5.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Street Lute 3.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Fraudulent Charge 8.00 8 15-1
3 3 Peyton Elizabeth 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hybrid Eclipse 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Princess Kokachin 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Richard W. Small S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Informative 20.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Treasure Trove 20.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Forewarned 20.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Workin On a Dream 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Shackqueenking 4.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 Tappin Cat 5.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Mischief Afoot 5.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 McElmore Avenue 8.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Bustoff 8.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Cordmaker 4.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Plot the Dots 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gator Fifty Two 15.00 3 6-1
3 3 New York One 20.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Little Bay 30.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Isabella’s Magic 8.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Dejohn 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 My Candy Biz 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Natty Beau 2.50 7.3 14-1
4 4 Distant Thunder 5.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Josef Is Real 3.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Warm Sunny Breeze 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
3rd - 2:57
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4th - 0:06
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Final
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4th - 7:04
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4th - 8:32
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3rd - 9:25
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