Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 27, 2021

November 27, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 One Time Around 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Miss Dial 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 It’s Time Baby 15.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Oak Hill Seniorita 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Pump It 20.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Mom’s Prayer 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Here Comes Lovie 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Madison Joy 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Legendary Gift 4.50 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Aligned Interest 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Double Priority 15.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Zion’s Call 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Gottatakehimto 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Jr’s Sauvage 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Shack Partout 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 The Thimble 2.00 5 9-1
7 7 Robtadi Storm 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Counterfeit 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Dark Matter 20.00 3 6-1
5 4 Ted Striker 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Unbridled Hope 20.00 4 8-1
9 8 Clever Prince 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 D’festive Cat 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Lucky Big Daddy 3.50 6 11-1
7 6 Sir Overanalyze 6.00 6.1 11-1
10 9 He’s a Classic 6.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Multidimensional 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Madison’s Place 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Miss Billie K 15.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Mariposa d’Oro 15.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sucre 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Lady Ave 1.20 3.7 7-1
5 5 Miami Rose 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Blazing Charm 3.50 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Wild One Forever 20.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Crimson Storm 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 American Nightmare 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Cleric 20.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Justa Swinging 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Saber Run 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Pleasant Vision 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Sniveling 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Toe Bandit 3.50 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mostly Awesome 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Mitch’s Pins 15.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Nana’s Joy 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Super Legs 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 See What’s What 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Honest N Lucky 4.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Friendly and Kind 1.80 5.2 10-1
8 8 Panterita 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Knight’s Honor 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Shades of Truth 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Some Would Say 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Lacey Boss 2.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Varton 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Catskill Ghost 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Prairie Dress 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Diside 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Hope for Change 20.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Real Brave 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Twilite Liason 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Tyler’s Admiral 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Chief Cheetah 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Rare Strain 2.50 5 9-1
3 3 Brithasgoldencents 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Last Battle 3.50 7.1 13-1
6 6 Getcha 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Heather’s Request 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Yank Crime 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shesthecatsmeow 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Gaby’s Promise 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Velvet Isle 4.00 4.5 8-1
10 9 Achancetowin 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Poseidon’s Magic 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Bind On Earth 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Lucky Little Lady 5.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Firstslate 8.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 I’m All Mixed Up 6.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Sophisticated Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
2nd - 1:10
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Final
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4th - 8:06
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3rd - 7:02
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3rd - 6:21
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3rd - 8:17
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2nd - 1:41
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2nd - 1:48
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1st - 2:10
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