November 27, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | One Time Around | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Dial | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Time Baby | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oak Hill Seniorita | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pump It | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mom’s Prayer | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Here Comes Lovie | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madison Joy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Legendary Gift | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Aligned Interest | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Priority | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zion’s Call | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gottatakehimto | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jr’s Sauvage | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shack Partout | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Thimble | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Robtadi Storm | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Counterfeit | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dark Matter | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ted Striker | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Unbridled Hope | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Clever Prince | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D’festive Cat | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lucky Big Daddy | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sir Overanalyze | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | He’s a Classic | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Multidimensional | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Madison’s Place | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Billie K | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mariposa d’Oro | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sucre | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Ave | 1.20 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miami Rose | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blazing Charm | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wild One Forever | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Storm | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Nightmare | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cleric | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justa Swinging | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saber Run | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pleasant Vision | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sniveling | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toe Bandit | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mostly Awesome | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mitch’s Pins | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nana’s Joy | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Legs | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | See What’s What | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honest N Lucky | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Friendly and Kind | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Panterita | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Knight’s Honor | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shades of Truth | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Some Would Say | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lacey Boss | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Varton | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catskill Ghost | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Prairie Dress | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Diside | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hope for Change | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Real Brave | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twilite Liason | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tyler’s Admiral | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chief Cheetah | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rare Strain | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brithasgoldencents | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Last Battle | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Getcha | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Heather’s Request | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Yank Crime | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shesthecatsmeow | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gaby’s Promise | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Velvet Isle | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Achancetowin | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Poseidon’s Magic | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bind On Earth | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lucky Little Lady | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Firstslate | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m All Mixed Up | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sophisticated Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.