November 27, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Never Change | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morello | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inevtabl Conection | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gun Maestro | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glen Echo | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Munny Bolt | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Instinctive | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Marvelous Maude | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Choose Happiness | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pure Bode | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cara’s Dreamer | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dixie Cannon | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Masterof the Tunes | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | War Canoe | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Dancing Kiki | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Vienna Code | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mike’s Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Vallarand | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | English Breeze | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Timeless Journey | 4.50 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fuoco | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Deep Cover | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Got the Gold | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D’vinicris | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Citizen K | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yarrow | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dakota Dancer | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Feathers Road | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Little Risk | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heroneandonly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Brennan’s War | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jack’s Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sir William | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Brew Pub | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Igottahaveit | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Indeed | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pier Forty | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Texas Swing | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Briggs | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Burn | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blu Grotto | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | French Toast | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Realm | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corkman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Windfall Profit | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Evvie Jets | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Color Chart | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Unruly Julie | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Golden Plume | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sport Model | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Belle Belisa (IRE) | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flauto | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Suspended Campaign | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pioneer of the Sky | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Digital Asset | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cupids Girl | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Marysvale | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charlottesometimes | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Rough Tough Love | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Splitsecondsonny | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Favor | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 11 | Adam’s Angel | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Send for Me | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Wild Ride | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1X | 10 | Afilada | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Central Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grand Sonata | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sy Dog | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maseta | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geno | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trust Daddy | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | General Ken | 1.60 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wish Me Home | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ohtwoohthreefive | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Discovery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vindictive | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speaker’s Corner | 0.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miles D | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manor House | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbonic | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ridin With Biden | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Long Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Orglandes (FR) | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harajuku (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Flower | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luck Money | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sorrel (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mutamakina (GB) | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Dragontea (GB) | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer in Saratoga | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Backtohisroots | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Omaha City | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chewing Gum | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arrest Me Red | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Turned Aside | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Package | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pulsate | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maxwell Esquire | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Value Proposition (GB) | 2.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grateful Bred | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Voodoo Zip | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cucina | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Happy Farm | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chateau | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Foolish Ghost | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.