November 26, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Sournois | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Paynt Battle | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Perfect Mistake | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Easy to Miss | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bunkie’s Song | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hulen | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | More Than Blessed | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carries Man | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pepper Jack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Thetrashmanscoming | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fast Verdict | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Money Machine | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hatties Jewel | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Si Es Goya | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saving Argument | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Beauty Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | More Memories | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Kimosabi | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itellyouthefacts | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dude Drop Kid | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luck of the Stars | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cabro Toro | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hot Apriority | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Friendofthecourt | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Texas Crossbow | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holy Sunrise | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pay Dirt | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Feller | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fazio | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malasong | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | G Don’t Know | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thirtyeightcaliber | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rhythmic Ruler | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wherever He Is | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Feathered Indian | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prince Perfecta | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Star Is Born Now | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Chalice | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Putthehammerdown | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grosse Tete Ian | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Far Beyond | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cole’s Sensation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Younmehoneybunny | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Amelia | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreamit | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Wish for Madelyn | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two With a Ten | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Back Inthat Action | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thinking of Her | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runpeggyrun | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elegant Orchid | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Party With Kassidy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dialed J | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Harlons Commision | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Darter | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Untethered Soul | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Tizway | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ezee Enough | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jennifer’s Arch | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shacklelackalacka | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Accustomed to Hope | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Country Dream | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Matt’s Pride | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Run Away Son | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corot | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Park Ridge Benny | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Available Star | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Go | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tale of Fame | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Smack | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carpe Victoriam | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lighthawk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Gentrified | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Remi’s Rose | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Classic Scale | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Landwoman’s Gift | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Deposit | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kaitlyn’s Court | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Pearls | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hairtrigger Heart | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devastating Beauty | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Your Memory | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Her Great Grandpa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pump It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.