Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 26, 2021

November 26, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Sournois 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Paynt Battle 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 1 Perfect Mistake 12.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Easy to Miss 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Bunkie’s Song 5.00 4 8-1
4 3 Hulen 2.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 More Than Blessed 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Carries Man 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Pepper Jack 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Thetrashmanscoming 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Fast Verdict 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Big Money Machine 1.60 3 6-1
3 2 Hatties Jewel 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Si Es Goya 4.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Saving Argument 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Beauty Boy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 More Memories 1.40 1.8 3-1
5 5 Chief Kimosabi 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Itellyouthefacts 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Dude Drop Kid 15.00 2 4-1
2 2 Luck of the Stars 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Cabro Toro 8.00 2.9 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hot Apriority 15.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Friendofthecourt 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Texas Crossbow 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Holy Sunrise 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Pay Dirt 4.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Feller 4.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Fazio 3.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Malasong 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 G Don’t Know 15.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Thirtyeightcaliber 10.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Rhythmic Ruler 1.80 1.9 4-1
8 8 Wherever He Is 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Feathered Indian 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Prince Perfecta 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 A Star Is Born Now 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Silver Chalice 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Putthehammerdown 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Grosse Tete Ian 8.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Far Beyond 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Cole’s Sensation 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Younmehoneybunny 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Sweet Amelia 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Dreamit 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 A Wish for Madelyn 4.50 5.9 11-1
3 3 Two With a Ten 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Back Inthat Action 10.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Thinking of Her 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Runpeggyrun 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Elegant Orchid 10.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Party With Kassidy 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dialed J 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Harlons Commision 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Blue Darter 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Untethered Soul 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Hurricane Tizway 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Ezee Enough 6.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Jennifer’s Arch 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Shacklelackalacka 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Accustomed to Hope 5.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Country Dream 12.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Matt’s Pride 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Run Away Son 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Corot 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Park Ridge Benny 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Available Star 3.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Gotta Go 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Tale of Fame 2.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Sir Smack 10.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Carpe Victoriam 10.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Lighthawk 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Gentrified 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Remi’s Rose 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 7 Classic Scale 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Landwoman’s Gift 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 My Deposit 2.50 4 7-1
10 8 Kaitlyn’s Court 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Holy Pearls 20.00 5 9-1
7 5 Hairtrigger Heart 5.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Devastating Beauty 4.00 9 17-1
5 5 Your Memory 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Her Great Grandpa 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Pump It 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
2nd - 12:52
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4th - 4:20
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3rd - 7:52
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2nd - 2:34
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2nd - 1:48
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2nd - 3:28
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1st - 3:14
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1st - 3:04
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